Wednesday, October 27, 2010

Questions

If anyone has questions, comments or objections, feel free to post them. I will do my best to answer them

Tuesday, October 26, 2010

Two Dimensions

In situations where we see contradictions, the answer is often that there are two dimensions that are involved but we are only acknowledging one of them.
That is what is going on with the subject we are looking at - the origin and development of species.
There are actually two dimensions. You could call one the horizontal and one the vertical.
Cladistics for example, does not acknowledge the vertical dimension and tries to collapse everything into the horizontal line of time. This can never be successful of course.
The Linnaean conception acknowledges the vertical dimension but not the horizontal dimension.
Both dimensions must be acknowledged because REALITY is in two dimensions.
It is only when we acknowledge both dimensions that we will understand the underlying reality.

For what it is worth, the closest we come now, is the conception of serial anagenesis with parallel evolution. That is the model I use in the pterosaur to bird theory.

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

* Dino to Bird Theory (4)

CIRCULARITY:
http://www.bio.fsu.edu/James/Ornitho...phs%202009.pdf
"The congruence of other characters is sometimes
offered as justification for such assumptions:
birds are theropods because they share
other characters with theropods and, therefore,
must have the same digital identities as theropods
(e.g., Wagner and Gauthier 1999, Makovicky and
Dyke 2001, Padian 2001b). This reasoning is circular.
Synapomorphies are invoked to defend the
hypothesis; the hypothesis is invoked to defend
the synapomorphies."

* Dino to Bird Theory (3)

Here is a reference to what I am talking about:
http://www.bio.fsu.edu/James/Ornitho...phs%202009.pdf
"Unjustifiable assumptions of homology incorporated
into data matrices.—The most glaring example of
this problem is the coding of avian and theropod
manual, carpal, and tarsal characters as if they were
homologous, despite the ambiguity of the data,
and despite the assumption this coding entails that
the BMT [dino to bird theory] hypothesis is correct a priori
(Martin et al.
1980; Martin 1983, 1991; Martin and Stewart 1985;
Burke and Feduccia 1997; Feduccia 1999; Wagner
and Gauthier 1999; Feduccia and Nowicki 2002;
Kundrát et al. 2002; Larsson and Wagner 2002; Galis
et al. 2003, 2005; Mayr et al. 2005, 2007; Vargas
and Fallon 2005a, b; Welten et al. 2005; Appendix
3)."

Saturday, October 9, 2010

* Dino to Bird Theory (2)

Here is the larger context to put this in, related to "normal science".
http://gothling.tripod.com/paradigm.html
"Textbooks, more than perhaps any other force in science, represent the bulwarks of existing paradigms. Students of science learn to deal with the world around them in the context of the paradigm they are taught. Ideally, students then grapple with the issues left unresolved within their paradigm and thus continue what Kuhn [Thomas Kuhn] calls the enterprise of "normal science"--"an attempt to force nature into the preformed and relatively inflexible box that the paradigm supplies". In dealing with nature through an existing paradigm, scientists are inherently conservative. They generally shun new theories that may shake their views of the world. According to Kuhn, however, this conservatism is not only inevitable, it is desirable: "By focusing attention upon a small range of relatively esoteric problems, the paradigm forces scientists to investigate some part of nature in a detail and depth that would otherwise be unimaginable". Normal science is essential for fact-gathering that may help confirm, clarify, or even extend paradigms. They also help to match facts with theory, and they even help to make theories more acceptable by, for instance, making them more aesthetically palatable. More fundamentally, normal science can be seen as puzzle-solving, where paradigms determine the parameters and rules for the puzzle. In other words, the paradigm sets the parameters in which scientists may view the world. Researchers must then attempt to solve the puzzles by looking for missing pieces and connecting them into a cohesive whole.

Where Paradigms Fail. This [normal science] period of puzzle solving, however, is often disrupted by discovery, at which point scientists must call into question the rules by which they were solving the puzzle. Restated, "Discovery commences with the awareness of anomaly, i.e. with the recognition that nature has somehow violated the paradigm-induced expectations that govern normal science". Anomaly must emerge within the context of an existing paradigm--otherwise, scientists would be unable to even recognize it."

* Dino to Bird Theory (1)

Here is a rather typical article on the dino to bird theory:
http://www.biomedsearch.com/attachme...j0149-0001.pdf

It purports to show the relationships between certain taxa and implies the validity of the dino to bird theory.
But what it actually does is, it assumes the validity of the dino to bird theory and then shows that if that theory is valid here is how the taxa would be related.
If only they would be honest and say that, things would be so much clearer.

This pattern occurs quite frequently. The authors of many, many studies and articles do not evaluate the validity of the dino to bird theory. THEY ASSUME the validity of the theory and then arrange things around that assumption.
And then people in this field say that the dino to bird theory is valid because look at how much validating material there is over the years. They forget (ignore) that those studies were based on the assumption of the dino to bird theory.

Wednesday, September 8, 2010

Anagenesis on the pterosaur line (2)

It is suggested you read the previous post before reading this one.

In the previous post we saw that there were anagenetic events/process on the pterosaur line. What prevents that line from continuing? Nothing actually. In fact it did continue. Through the processes of cladogenesis and anagenesis it continued on into the line of primitive birds, and then modern birds, just as this entire site has been presenting.
That being the case, we can correct the placement of birds on the cladograms. We remove them from where they are misplaced now and place them on the pterosaur line.

Anagenesis on the pterosaur line

Here is a standard cladogram.
http://biology.unm.edu/ccouncil/Biology_203/Images/Phylogeny/ReptileCladogram1.jpg



This shows pterosaurs as a diverging line.
Let's consider that line in a bit more detail.
First let's review the general idea about what happens on a line (whether it be diverging or not).
Anagenesis is what happens on lines. (Which is perfectly reasonable).
Remember this cladogram?


Notice the short red horizontal lines. Each represents an event/process of anagenesis.
Notice that such lines appear on the diverging lines.

Putting these ideas together we can see that there were such anagenetic events/process on the pterosaur line. And we know that is the case, because there are the Rhamphorhynchoidea and the Pterodactyloidea (the pterodactyls). The pterodactyls developed as a result of anagenesis.
I will continue this in the next post.

Friday, September 3, 2010

Looking for an ancestor

In the earlier post I said:
"The reason this is very significant is because dino to bird enthusiasts have never offered any creatures (any taxa) as the actual ancestor of modern birds. If Senter had put modern birds on the scatterplot he would have faced that issue. But he did not face up to it.".

The idea that "dino to bird enthusiasts have never offered any creatures (any taxa) as the actual ancestor of modern birds" may have come as a surprise to some people. But that is a simple uncontested fact.

Here is a reference to that fact:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Temporal_paradox_%28paleontology%29
"First, no one has proposed that maniraptoran dinosaurs of the Cretaceous are the ancestors of birds. They have merely found that dinosaurs like dromaeosaurs, troodontids and oviraptorosaurs are close relatives of birds. "

It is not my intention to enter into an analysis here about cladistic analysis.
But what is relevant is the following:
We saw how the dino to bird idea does not stand up to the fact that the line would have to wander and backtrack all over the place from one unconnected group to another.
But the situation is actually worse than that (if such a thing is conceivable).
Evolutionists are not even saying that any of those groups actually evolved into any others of those groups. They are saying that there is a separate line of unfound fossils of different creatures that winds its way from dinosaurs to birds.

Thankfully that is not a part of the thinking I am presenting.

Wednesday, September 1, 2010

Where are the modern birds?

If we look carefully at the Senter scatterplot we find an interesting thing.
Modern birds are not on the chart!
The "birdlike cluster" is just that - BIRDLIKE. But not birds in the sense of modern birds.
If modern birds were on the chart, would we see them as another cluster?
It is interesting to wonder what standard dino to bird theory would predict.
If anyone has an opinion on this I would be very interested.

There is another interesting thing about the Senter scatterplot.
To understand this we need some background. As people may know evolutionists place modern birds as a member of Aves.
But let's take a look at the scatterplot and the legend beneath it. The legend says that the violet dots are Archaeopteryx (31) and "other Aves" (32 and 33).
32 is Sapeornis. 33 is Confuciusornis.
This confirms what I had said about the missing modern birds. Even though the legend says "other Aves" the cluster does not include modern birds. It leaves out the most significant Aves creatures, the modern birds (neornithes). The group is actually "non-neornithine Aves".
The reason this is very significant is because evolutionists have never offered any creatures (any taxa) as the actual ancestor of modern birds. If Senter had put modern birds on the scatterplot he would have faced that issue. But he did not face up to it.

Tuesday, August 31, 2010

Presenting the picture

We have seen that the Senter scatterplot completely contradicts the standard dinosaur to bird idea. The supposed path from dino to bird wanders all over the place between unconnected groups.
So how does the scatterplot relate to the ideas that I have been presenting?
First we would remove the Tyrannosaur cluster since it is not related at all to the origin and development of birds. We are left with the "Birdlike cluster" and an assortment of other unconnected groups.
According to the hypothesis I have been presenting, the Birdlike cluster developed from the pterosaurs, which unfortunately are not shown on the chart. So we cannot analyze that aspect of the subject.
But we can consider the relationship of the Birdlike Cluster to the other groups such as the Oviraptors, Alvarezsaurids, Therizonosaurids etc.

What I have been presenting is the idea that these groups developed from the flying birds within the Birdlike cluster. They are SECONDARILY flightless.
The reason that they appear morphologically unconnected in terms of the scatterplot is that they are as different as flightless birds are from flying birds. And there is no way in practice to distinguish intermediates because if a bird fossil is found - it is identified as either one or the other.

Friday, August 27, 2010

The long and winding road

I have been pointing out that the "birdlike cluster" is not related to the "tyrannosaur cluster". But the situation is actually more interesting than that.
In every cladogram that purports to show an evolution from dinosaur to bird, we find the following:
The dino-to-bird enthusiasts place non-flying creatures like the Ornithomimosauria, Therizinosauridae and Oviraptorosauria between the dinosaurs (eg. tyrannosaurs) and the birds.
The idea is that terrestrial dinosaurs evolved into terrestrial, feathered creatures which then evolved into flying birds.
But take a look at the Senter scatterplot. Trace the line that is imagined to have occurred between these groups, supposedly winding its way to the birdlike cluster.
It is a wandering line between groups that are not connected.
The dino-to-bird idea is completely incompatible with the evidence from the Senter study.

For those who might like to have this spelled out, the dino to bird purported sequence would roughly go from the red points to the pink points, backtrack to the olive points, over to the green points, over to the blue points and then backtrack to the violet points. Quite a fantastic, supposed journey.
When the data is accurately charted like this we see that the dino to bird idea is simply incorrect.

Thursday, August 26, 2010

The "birdlike cluster"

Senter has shown that there is a "birdlike cluster" which is "morphologically continuous". When we look at what creatures are included in the birdlike cluster, we see that they are all "maniraptors".
This is precisely one of the major points I have been making. The group labeled "maniraptors" are in fact flying and secondarily flightless birds. (Of course I am not the only one who has made this point).

I am also saying that the flying birds within the birdlike cluster developed from pterosaurs. And the flightless birds within the birdlike cluster developed from the flying birds within the birdlike cluster.

An intellectual exercise

Here is an intellectual exercise.
Let us take the 3 groups:
A: Non-maniraptor dinosaurs (eg Tyrannosaur, Compsognathidae)
B: Non-avian maniraptors (eg. Dromaeosaurids, Oviraptors etc.)
C: Aves (eg. Enantiornithes, Confuciusornis etc.)

People agree that C is related to B.
But some people go further and say also that B is related to A.
But the people who believe that B is related to A, do not put it in that simple way. They keep saying that C is related to the "non-avian group" (A + B).
To be precise, C is related to the B part of the "non-avian group", not the A part of the "non-avian group". The phrase "non-avian group" is just misleading. Whether B is related to A has still to be shown.
And that is the question!
Does everyone see the issue?

And then think about how many times you have seen the phrases "non-avian coelurosaurs" and "non-avian dinosaurs".

Tuesday, August 24, 2010

Trajectories

Here is what Senter says about "trajectories of dots" (morphological evolution within a lineage):
"It is noteworthy that bifurcating trajectories are visible in the 2009 scatter plot in a number of places. Within Dromaeosauridae, the sequence Velociraptor [dot 28]→Deinonychus [dot 29] and the sequence Sinornithosaurus [dot 26]→Microraptor [dot 27] extend in different directions from Bambiraptor, which is at the apex of the 'V'. Another bifurcation is present within the Tyrannosaur Cluster, with Guanlong + Ornitholestes at its apex and with Gorgosaurus→Tyrannosaurus leading in one direction and Huaxiagnathus→ (Sinosauropteryx + Compsognathus) leading in another direction. Baraminologists recognize that a trajectory of dots within a CMDS or ANOPA scatter plot represents morphological evolution within a lineage (Wood & Cavanaugh, 2003; Wood, 2005a,b), in which case bifurcating trajectories must represent speciation. It is also noteworthy that these bifurcating patterns correspond reasonably well to the bifurcations on the cladogram in Fig. 1, with the more basal members of each group closer to the origin of each scatter plot bifurcation."

As an example, let's focus on:
"Within Dromaeosauridae, the sequence Velociraptor→Deinonychus and the sequence Sinornithosaurus→Microraptor extend in different directions from Bambiraptor"

On the cluster diagram, he is referring to Velociraptor (dot 28) being close to Deinonychus (dot 29). And he is referring to Sinornithosaurus (dot 26) being close to Microraptor (dot 27). This all makes sense. As Senter says this "represents morphological evolution within a lineage".
BUT here is the big point. We do not see anything like this between the "Tyrannosaur cluster" and the "Birdlike cluster". These clusters are separate, with no trajectory of dots between them.
So by Senter's own logic, the "Birdlike cluster" is not related to the "Tyrannosaur cluster".
And even though Senter himself does not draw the obvious conclusion, the obvious conclusion is that birds did not develop from dinosaurs.

Monday, August 23, 2010

A matter of perspective

The Senter cluster diagram shows two different 3D perspectives on the 2009 same data. It can be confusing if one does not fully realize this. For example the chart on the right seems to show that the violet dots and the pink dots are close together. But of course they are not, as we can clearly see from the chart on the left. It is just an illusion of perspective. This is probably obvious to most every one but it may have confused a few people.

Analyzing the clusters

Let's see what more we can learn from the clusters.



First we can see that the dots cluster into well-known groups*.
Violet dots for Aves.
Dark blue for Dromaeosauridae.
Light blue for Troodontidae.
Red for Compsognathidae.
Pink for Tyrannosaurs.
Green (light and dark) for Oviraptors.

This gives credence to the placement of the dots.
But what is striking is that the clusters are separate from each other. There are no lines of intermediates.
And it is clear how Senter established the Birdlike cluster and the Tyrannosaur cluster. It is clear that they are separate.

*There are other groups than the ones I listed, but these are the ones of most interest.

Relating the Senter study

So how does the Senter study relate to the theory being presented in this site?
The Senter study shows that the Tyrannosaur cluster (Tyrannosaur, Compsognathidae etc) does not relate to the Birdlike cluster. This is strong support for the idea that birds did not develop from dinosaurs.
Now the Senter study was undertaken in an attempt to show that "creationists" need to accept the idea of evolution. However the study actually does the opposite. Creationists can take from the study support for their idea of created kinds.
That is a conclusion that can be made.
I am taking a less controversial position.
I am saying that birds developed from pterosaurs. The Senter study shows that birds did not develop from dinosaurs so the question of bird origins is still open.
A creationist could say that birds were a creation of a higher intelligence. I am saying that birds developed from pterosaurs.
What I am proposing is compatible with both evolutionism and creationism.

Why the Senter study is important

Why is the Senter (2010) study important?
For a few reasons.
1. The Senter study title and abstract are available online. (As is some of the supporting information). You have to pay to see the article itself. So most people will get their impression of the study only from what is available free online. This means that if the title and the abstract are misleading that is the only impression most people will get. As we have seen, the title and the abstract imply the opposite of what the study itself shows, so this is significant.
2. The Senter study uses CMDS which is not new in the baraminology literature but is not common in the mainstream evolution literature. Since this statistical technique is one more helpful tool, it is good that it has been referred to in the mainstream evolution literature.
3. Moving to the results of the study itself, we see that the Birdlike cluster and the Tyrannosaur cluster are separate, they are not related. This puts one more nail in the coffin of the dino to bird hypothesis.
4. Looking beyond just the subject of birds, Senter points out that:
"Using ANOPA and CMDS, baraminologists have conducted several searches for morphological gaps in extant and fossil taxa. Such studies have identified significant morphological gaps between major groups of extant and extinct cetaceans"
and
"Two such studies that included dozens of extant plant and animal taxa have verified that, in general, morphological gaps separate extant families from each other, but morphological continuity exists within families (Wood, 2005b, 2008a)."
So other currently assumed evolution lineages (not just birds) need to be re-considered.

Analyzing the title of the Senter study

Even the title of the Senter (2010) study is misleading.
Here is the title:
"Using creation science to demonstrate evolution: application of a creationist method for visualizing gaps in the fossil record to a phylogenetic study of coelurosaurian dinosaurs"

The first thing to notice is the identification of CMDS as a "creationist method". This is a bizarre thing to say, particularly when Senter himself says:
"It should be noted that ANOPA and CMDS are not strictly creationist techniques. They are mathematical techniques, and mathematics has no creed. "
So we can dismiss that misconception.

The second thing to note is that the title also implies that the study "demonstrates evolution", when in fact it demonstrates the independence of the Birdlike cluster and the Tyrannosaur cluster. In other words it demonstrates that birds are not related to coelurosarian dinosaurs (Tyrannosaurs, Compsognathidae etc).
So the title would be correct if it said something like:

"Using science to demonstrate independence: application of a statistical method for visualizing and quantifying gaps in the fossil record to a phylogenetic study of coelurosaurians."